PolyBot / Overview
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Benachrichtigungen 3 neu · 12 total

Regime gewechselt: BULL_TREND → TRANSITION. Policy automatisch angepasst.vor 4 Min · 14:22
Trade geschlossen: BTC Long +€21.24 (Momentum_v3)vor 8 Min · 14:18
SL-Repair auf NIO angewandt (Fallback entry×1.03)vor 14 Min · 14:12
Gatekeeper hat NVDA DR-Call abgelehnt (SL 267% weg)vor 28 Min · 13:54
Advisor-Call beantwortet (conf 0.82 · HOLD)vor 52 Min · 13:30
Command Deck

Guten Tag, Gabriel.

lade Live-Daten…

Equity

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source: engine_status

Positionen

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SL coverage: --

Bot Status

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cycle: -- | uptime: -- | regime: --

Gate Blocks

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Warte auf Gate-Daten…

Equity Mini-Chart

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Live Trading

Trading Engine

Phase6 · 16 Assets · Paper · Auto-Mode
Signale heute
?
lade...
Trades heute
?
WR lade...
Open Orders
3
2 LIMIT · 1 STOP
Queue Depth
?
pending
Signal Pipeline
last 2h
127
Raw
→
89
ML-Pass
→
42
Regime
→
28
Risk
→
20
Executed
Active Strategies
Momentum_v3+12.4%
MeanRev_ATR+8.2%
BreakoutZ+5.8%
PairTrade_SPY-1.2%
DR_Consensus+4.4%
Order Book · Pending
SymbolSideTypeQtyPriceTTL
AAPLLONGLIMIT8184.204m
MSFTLONGLIMIT4402.1512m
TSLASHORTSTOP5268.9028m
Risk Gates
Circuit Breaker
ARMED · 0/10 losses
Heat Cap
24.3% / 25%
Per-Pos Heat
5% enforced · 1 outlier
Correlation
max ρ = 0.62 · OK
Vol Target
15% ann · aktuell 13.8%
DD Breaker
-3.2% / -8%
SL-Validator
5 repaired heute
Gatekeeper
2 rejections heute
Positionen

Offene Positionen · —

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SymbolSideQtyEntryMarkSLTPPreisP&LHeatWarumExitBrokerDatenStatus
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Partial-Profit Plans (TP1 / TP2 / TP3)
—
SymbolEntryTP1 (+1%)TP2 (+2%)TP3 (+4%)Stop
lade…
Heat Distribution
per position
BTCETHSOLSPYPANWPLTRQQQNIO 5% cap
Correlation Matrix
ρ 30d
BTCETHSOLSPYQQQ BTCETHSOLSPYQQQ max ρ = 0.62 (SPY ↔ QQQ) min ρ = -0.12 (BTC ↔ SPY) avg = 0.31 within limits (cap 0.75)
Trade History

Trades · 30 Tage

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Total Trades
284
191W · 93L
Profit Factor
2.18
Ø Win €78 · Ø Loss -€36
Expectancy
+€31.20
pro Trade
Max Win Streak
9
Ø Streak 3.2
Letzte Trades
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ZeitSymbolSideQtyEntryExitHoldP&LStrategie
14:18BTCLONG0.0278420794821h22+€21.24Momentum_v3
13:54PLTRLONG0.34169.25-open+€218DR_Consensus
13:22AAPLLONG12182.40184.1842m+€21.36BreakoutZ
12:48NVDALONG2118.20116.8028m-€2.80Momentum_v3
11:58TSLASHORT-6272.40268.901h14+€21.00MeanRev_ATR
11:22SOLLONG5.0084.2086.443h02+€11.20BreakoutZ
10:48METALONG1578.40582.1254m+€3.72Momentum_v3
10:14CYTKSHORT-4064.2063.8514m+€14.00PairTrade_SPY
09:38AMDLONG8168.20166.4022m-€14.40Momentum_v3
09:04SHOPLONG3.59145.95-open+€81.09DR_Consensus
P&L Distribution
break-even
Win/Loss per Hour
Strategien

Aktive Strategien

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Lade Strategien…
BreakoutZ
Donchian · Vol-Expand
ACTIVE
+5.8%
Sharpe
1.38
Win%
62.0%
Trades
38
Avg Hold
3h 12m
DR_Consensus
LLM Multi-Source
PREMIUM
+4.4%
Sharpe
1.21
Win%
64.8%
Trades
24
Avg Hold
5h 40m
PairTrade_SPY
Stat-Arb · Cointegration
REVIEW
-1.2%
Sharpe
-0.24
Win%
51.2%
Trades
18
Avg Hold
6h 20m
VolSurf_Crypto
IV-Rank · Skew
ACTIVE
+6.2%
Sharpe
1.44
Win%
66.1%
Trades
31
Avg Hold
2h 50m
NewsShock
NLP-Sentiment · 5m
ACTIVE
+3.1%
Sharpe
0.92
Win%
58.4%
Trades
22
Avg Hold
12m
Phase5_ML
XGB+Ridge+LGBM Ensemble
CORE
+15.8%
Sharpe
2.18
Win%
73.4%
Trades
15
Avg Hold
4h 08m
Market Regime

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Regime-Probability · 90 Tage
HMM · 4-State
BULL_TRENDTRANSITION today
Current State
BULL_TREND32%
TRANSITION48%
CHOP14%
BEAR_TREND6%
VIX
18.4 +12%
VVIX
112.8
Breadth
43% ↓
Y10-Y2
-0.18 inv.
Put/Call
0.78
Regime Transitions · 90d
BULLTRANBULLCHOPTRAN (now)
Policy Adjustment
Position Size
×0.80 (defensiv)
New Entries
nur conf > 0.75
Short-Bias
+15%
ATR-Multiplier
2.5× → 3.0×
Correlation-Cap
0.75 → 0.60
Heat-Cap
25% → 20%
Risk Control

Risk Dashboard

Heat 24.3% · DD -3.2% · CB armed · 8 Gates active
Portfolio Heat
24.3%
Cap 25% · 1 outlier
Drawdown
-3.2%
Limit -8%
VaR 95% · 1d
€1.820
1.74% of NAV
Consecutive Losses
2
CB trigger bei 10
Risk Gates · Status
Circuit Breaker0 / 10ARMED
Portfolio DD Breaker-3.2% / -8.0%ARMED
Portfolio Heat Cap24.3% / 25.0%NEAR
Per-Position Heat5.0% max1 CLAMP
Correlation Filterρ 0.62 / 0.75OK
Vol-Targeting13.8% / 15.0%OK
SL-Side Validator5 repairedACTIVE
Gatekeeper (DR-LLM)2 rejectedACTIVE
Heat-Verlauf · 24h
Cap 25%
ML Ensemble

Phase5 · 3-Model Stack

XGBoost 42% · Ridge 31% · LightGBM 27% · rolling retrain 7d
XGBoost
depth=6 · lr=0.04 · 420 trees
42%
AUC
0.742
Log-Loss
0.514
Edge-IC
0.184
Retrained
vor 2d
Features
127
Ridge
α=0.5 · L2
31%
AUC
0.688
Log-Loss
0.562
Edge-IC
0.142
Retrained
vor 1d
Features
84
LightGBM
num_leaves=64 · lr=0.03
27%
AUC
0.721
Log-Loss
0.528
Edge-IC
0.171
Retrained
vor 3d
Features
112
Top Features · SHAP
rsi_14_zscore0.184
vwap_dev_5m0.162
atr_regime_ratio0.148
volume_profile_poc0.132
btc_correl_30m0.118
news_sent_24h0.094
term_struct_slope0.078
Ensemble Calibration
last 30d
00.51.000.51.0 predicted probability
Inference Latency
12ms
p99 < 50ms
Model Drift (PSI)
0.08
threshold 0.25
Retrain ETA
5d
weekly cycle
Edge (IR)
0.18
rolling 30d
Execution Quality

Order Execution

Slippage 3.2 bps · Fill-Rate 98.4% · Routing smart
Fill-Rate
98.4%
+0.4% vs. 30d
Avg Slippage
3.2 bps
unter Target 5 bps
Ø Latency
142ms
router → fill
Rejects
0.8%
5 von 612
Slippage by Venue
IBKR Smart2.8 bps412 orders
Alpaca3.4 bps128 orders
eToro CFD4.1 bps48 orders
Binance2.2 bps24 orders
Latency Distribution
p99 500ms 50ms150250400
Broker-Verbindungen

4 Broker · 3 live · 1 sandbox

Smart-Routing aktiv · Health-Checks alle 30s
Interactive Brokers
TWS Gateway · Paper
LIVE
Account
DU8247392
Equity
€ 104.284
Buying Power
€ 312.852
Margin
24.3%
Latency
124ms
Orders heute
412
Fills
408 · 99.0%
Alpaca
US-Equity · Paper
LIVE
Account
PA3X1K2M9
Equity
$ 24.180
Buying Power
$ 72.540
Margin
8.2%
Latency
168ms
Orders heute
128
Fills
126 · 98.4%
eToro
CFD · Paper
LIMITED
Account
demo_9482
Equity
€ 18.420
Buying Power
€ 36.840
Margin
14.1%
Latency
412ms
Orders heute
48
Fills
44 · 91.7%
Binance Testnet
Crypto · Spot+Futures
LIVE
Account
testnet_84K
Equity
$ 12.480
Buying Power
$ 62.400
Margin
18.4%
Latency
86ms
Orders heute
24
Fills
24 · 100%
Performance Analytics

Performance

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Sharpe
--
annualized
Max DD
--
peak-to-trough
Win Rate
--
realized trades
Return (total)
--
vs start equity
Equity Curve
LOAD
Benchmark — SPY / QQQ / BTC
LOAD
Lade Benchmark…
Steuer · Deutschland

Steuer-Übersicht 2026

§23 EStG Spekulationsfrist · KESt 25% + Soli · FIFO-Matching
Realized YTD
€ 8.420
Paper · simuliert
Unrealized
€ 1.680
11 open pos.
Steuer-Rückstellung
€ 2.220
26.375% KESt+Soli
Pauschbetrag
€ 1.000
noch frei · ledig
Asset-Kategorie
Aktien/ETFs€ 5.240KESt 26.375%
Crypto (haltefrist <1J)€ 2.180pers. ESt-Satz
Crypto (haltefrist >1J)€ 0steuerfrei
CFDs€ 1.000Termingeschäft
Verlust-Verrechnung-€ 360Topf Aktien
FIFO-Lot-Tracking · BTC
2025-11-08Buy0.15 BTC68.420 €
2025-12-14Buy0.08 BTC72.180 €
2026-02-22Sell-0.1074.200 €
2026-03-18Buy0.04 BTC75.931 €
Current0.17 BTCØ 72.410
KI-Infrastruktur

7-Source Topology

Gemini primary · Claude fallback · 5 Research-Quellen
Data & Intelligence Flow
live
FinnHub Yahoo AlphaVtg Tiingo Gemini 2.5 Claude 4.1 Perplexity DR Core Gatekeeper · Consensus EEngine SSignal AAdvisor
LLM Provider
Primary
Gemini 2.5 Pro
Fallback
Claude 4.1 Opus
Research
Perplexity Sonar
Cost heute
€ 0.00 (Gemini)
Cost MTD
€ 2.18
Data Sources
FinnHub
● OK · 42ms
Yahoo
● OK · 118ms
AlphaVantage
● RATE · 320ms
Tiingo
● OK · 86ms
Polygon
● OK · 62ms
Gatekeeper · heute
Queries
42
Accepted
38 (90.5%)
Rejected
2 (PLTR 87%, NVDA 267%)
Clamped
2
Avg-Latency
1.8s
AI Trading Advisor

Advisor · Opus 4.1

Hard-Decision-Only · Heute 3 Calls · Conf-Schnitt 0.78
Letzte Advisor-Calls
13:48 · NIO Short exit?HOLD

Drawdown auf Short ausreichend, Momentum kippt noch nicht. Trailing SL bei 4.78 empfohlen, full exit erst bei 4.40 TP-Hit oder Break über 4.82.

Conf
0.82
Risk
medium
TTL
4h
11:22 · Regime-ChangeADJUST

VIX-Breakout + Breadth-Verschlechterung → TRANSITION-Szenario wahrscheinlicher. Position-Size 80%, Correlation-Cap senken, Short-Bias +15%.

Conf
0.74
Risk
low
TTL
24h
09:14 · PLTR sizing dilemmaENTER ½

Momentum-Setup stark, aber Correlation mit Tech-Basket hoch. Halbe Position jetzt, Nachkauf bei Rücksetzer auf 166.40 mit ATR-Stop.

Conf
0.78
Risk
medium
TTL
2h
Advisor Stats
Calls MTD
48
Hit-Rate
72.9%
Ø Conf
0.78
Cost MTD
€ 4.82

Trigger-Mapping

Hard-Exit
DD > 5% + Signal-Konflikt
Regime-Change
HMM-Prob > 0.45 < 0.55
Sizing-Dilemma
Corr > 0.6 + ML-Conf > 0.8
Risk-Override
Heat > 22% oder CB near
Deep Research

LLM-Generated SL/TP

Gatekeeper Anti-Hallucination · 7 Sources · Consensus-Voting
DR Calls heute
42
Ø 1.8s
Accepted
38
90.5%
Rejected (Hallu)
2
PLTR · NVDA
Clamped
2
SL >15% entfernt
Gatekeeper Rejections · heute
ZeitSymbolDR-CallInput PriceDR-OutputReject ReasonFallback
10:14PLTRsl_tp_v3169.25SL 22.80 (87% weg)Δ > 15%SL 164.17 (-3%)
11:42NVDAsl_tp_v3118.20SL 434.50 (267% weg)Hallu: wrong-sideSL 114.65 (-3%)
Consensus Sources · letzte Query
BTC Long
Gemini 2.5SL 71.900TP 84.200vote
Claude 4.1SL 72.100TP 84.500vote
PerplexitySL 71.800TP 83.900vote
FinnHub ATRSL 71.650-reference
Polygon Vol-TP 84.800reference
Consensus71.95384.250ACCEPTED
Gatekeeper Rules
Rule 1
|SL - price| / price < 15%
Rule 2
Long: SL < price < TP
Rule 3
Short: SL > price > TP
Rule 4
R:R zwischen 1:1.2 und 1:5
Rule 5
ATR-Sanity: SL-Δ > 0.5 ATR
Rule 6
Consensus: ≥ 2 LLMs übereinstimmend
Rule 7
Response < 5s total
System Health

VPS 187.124.3.251

Uptime 16h 42m · CPU 14% · RAM 2.4/8 GB · Disk 42%
Uptime
16h 42m
since 21:40 CET
CPU Load
14%
4 cores · 0.58 avg
Memory
2.4 GB
30% of 8 GB
Disk
42%
84 / 200 GB
Docker Containers
polybot-enginev7.2.1● running16h 42m
polybot-dashboardv7.0.0● running16h 42m
polybot-ml-workerv7.2.1● running16h 42m
polybot-redis7.2● running16h 42m
polybot-postgres16.2● running16h 42m
polybot-nginx1.24● running16h 42m
Service Health
Gemini API● 142ms99.98% 30d
Claude API● 218ms99.94% 30d
IBKR Gateway● 124ms99.82% 30d
Alpaca● 168ms99.91% 30d
eToro● 412ms98.42% 30d
Postgres● 4ms100% 30d
CPU & Memory · 24h
100%0% CPURAM
System Logs

Live Tail

polybot-engine · 50 latest lines · filter /regex/
polybot-engine
tailing · 50 lines
14:22:14Iregime_state: TRANSITION prob=0.48 (was BULL_TREND)
14:22:12Ipolicy_adjust: position_size×0.80 corr_cap=0.60 heat_cap=0.20
14:21:48Itrade_close SYMBOL=BTC qty=0.02 pnl=+21.24 strat=Momentum_v3
14:21:32Iml_inference ensemble conf=0.84 signal=BTC/BUY edge=+2.4σ
14:20:58Ddr_core consensus=3/3 latency=1.82s cost=€0.00
14:20:12WSL-SIDE-INVALID [long] NIO sl=4.46 ≥ entry=4.60 → corrected 4.738
14:19:48Isl_repair applied pos=NIO from=4.46 to=4.738 fallback=3%
14:19:22Iheat_clamp pos=NIO raw=5.6% clamped=5.0% reason=per_pos_cap
14:18:44Isignal_pipeline raw=127 ml_pass=89 regime=42 risk=28 exec=20
14:18:14Dorder_fill IBKR BTC qty=0.02 px=78420 slip=2.1bps lat=124ms
14:17:58Icorrelation_check max_rho=0.62 (SPY↔QQQ) cap=0.75 OK
14:17:12Iadvisor_call topic=NIO_exit conf=0.82 verdict=HOLD ttl=4h
14:16:48Wgatekeeper_reject symbol=NVDA dr_sl=434.50 price=118.20 Δ=267%
14:16:22Ifallback_sl NVDA applied=114.65 (entry*0.97)
14:15:44Iml_retrain_check psi=0.08 threshold=0.25 skip
14:15:12Ddata_feed FinnHub 42ms Yahoo 118ms AV 320ms Tiingo 86ms
14:14:48Iportfolio_heat=24.3% outliers=[NIO:5.0%] cap=25%
14:14:12Itrade_open SYMBOL=PLTR qty=0.34 entry=169.25 sl=164.17 tp=184.00
14:13:48Dvol_target annualized=13.8% target=15% leverage=0.92
14:13:22Icb_state consecutive_losses=2 limit=10 armed=true
14:12:58WSL-SIDE-INVALID [long] CYTK sl=65.77 ≥ entry=63.85 → wait flip
14:12:32Itrade_close SYMBOL=META qty=1 pnl=+3.72 strat=Momentum_v3
14:12:08Irisk_gate_pass symbol=PLTR all_8_gates=ok
14:11:44Densemble_weights xgb=42% ridge=31% lgbm=27%
14:11:12Inews_shock_trigger MSFT sentiment=+0.78 action=LONG qty_half
14:10:48Iregime_probe VIX=18.4(+12%) breadth=43% yield_inv=true
14:10:22Dhealth_ok engine=16h42m mem=2.4G cpu=14% disk=42%
14:09:58Istrategy_rotation PairTrade_SPY flagged_review_after_5d_neg
14:09:32Iorder_fill Alpaca AAPL qty=12 px=184.18 slip=3.4bps
14:08:48Iadvisor_call topic=regime_change conf=0.74 verdict=ADJUST ttl=24h
Log Level
INFO428
DEBUG—
WARN—
ERROR—

Recent WARN

14:20 SL-SIDE-INVALID NIO
14:16 gatekeeper_reject NVDA
14:12 SL-SIDE-INVALID CYTK
13:48 rate_limit AlphaVantage
13:22 slippage>5bps eToro
Evolution · Genetic Optimizer

Strategy Evolution Lab

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Lade Evolution-Daten…
Letzte Events
Keine Events vorhanden.
Data Sources

7-Source Pipeline

Yahoo · Finnhub · NewsAPI · Finviz · Google RSS · CoinGecko · eToro — alle ONLINE
Sources Online
—
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Data Provider
—
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DR Cache Alter
—
state/deep_research/
LLM Router
—
lade…
Datenquellen · Live Status
SourceTypCalls 24hLimitLatenzErrorsStatus
Yahoo FinanceOHLCV18.240unlim210ms0ONLINE
FinnhubRealtime + Fundamentals8.41260/min180ms0ONLINE
NewsAPINews98/100100/day420ms2NEAR CAP
FinvizScreener2.148scrape680ms0ONLINE
Google News RSSNews4.822unlim140ms0ONLINE
CoinGeckoCrypto Prices3.28450/min220ms0ONLINE
eToro (Cookie)Portfolio Sync148session1.2s0ONLINE
LLM Rotation · heute
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Primary · 928 calls · €0.00
Gemma 3 27B
Fallback · 284 calls · €0.00
Gemini 2.0 Flash
Fallback-2 · 32 calls · €0.00
Claude 4.1 Opus
Advisor · 4 calls · €0.28
Perplexity Sonar
Research · 0 calls
◉ COST TODAY
€0.28 · 99.7% frei (Gemini)
Bot Control

Steuerung & Settings

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Bot-Status
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Mode
--
--
Positionen
--
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Win Rate
--
seit Start
Settings
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Risiko/Trade (%)
Max Tagesverlust (%)
Max Positionen
Ziel R/R Ratio
SL-Typ
Short erlaubt
Trading Mode
KI-Review
Symbol Management
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Fonds
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Positionen
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Zuletzt

Intel Hub

Signal Status · Options Flow · Earnings · Partial TP

BOT BRAIN — Signal Status

OPTIONS FLOW

EARNINGS CALENDAR

PARTIAL TP PLANS

eToro Swing

Portfolio

SL/TP · Positionen · Decision Trace
Swing Bot

Bot Status & Positionen

run_swing.py · eToro · SL/TP live
--:--:-- -- pos PnL -- IT --/24 Depot --s
▲ Live
BotSymbolDirEntryAktuellSLPnLStatusLev
Zuletzt geschlossen
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